July 14, 2007

And Then There Were Ten

Posted by Adam Graham in : Presidential Race 2008

It’s the end of the road for Governor Jim Gilmore who didn’t gain any traction in his bid for the White House. I’ve been telling folks for months I expected this, and so it is. All the best to Governor Gilmore in his future endeavors.

The GOP field will narrow considerably as it did in 2000. The field was nearly as big, but by the time Debates rolled in December, there were only six left.

After Gilmore, it’s kind of tough to guess who’ll drop out on the GOP side. It’s easier to guess who’ll definitely be in. Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, Ron Paul, and John Cox would be the only four that I can say with some confidence will be in the race come January. Duncan Hunter probably stays in as well, given that he’s not running for re-election and his son is running to replace him. The others are a little bit more of a mystery, but I do expect the field to narrow to 7 before year’s end. (Hat Tip: Save the GOP) (which had a slight miscount.)

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Comments (7)

7 Comments

Comment by Michael

Surely you jest. “didn’t gain any traction,” but Cox has? Uh, no. He hasn’t. What are you smoking up there in
Comment by Adam Graham

Mr. Cox has shown up in the polls without being in the debates in Iowa. In addition, the opposition camapign, by an organized group of blog comment trolls shows that the campaign has got some type of chance. What type of loser goes from post attacking a camapign that can’t win?
Comment by Alex

Not a slight miscount, John Cox doesn’t count, and Fred has yet to announce. That leaves McCain, Romney, Giuliani, Paul, Hunter, Huckabee, Brownback, Tommy Thompson, and Tancredo. Nine candidates.
Comment by Adam Graham

Excuse me? He doesn’t count? His campaign is at least as serious as that of Tom Tancredo and Duncan Hunter.
Comment by Michael

Sorry, Adam, but a campaign that can only raise $1400 in the last three months doesn’t count.

There are some very concerned former staffers (I’m not one of them, BTW) who think he is a dangerous demagogue who is fooling a few innocent conservatives into supporting him.

Granted, it’s a VERY few at this point. Suffice it to say he’s burned a lot of staffers, and that accounts for some of the anger I hear out there directed at the guy.
Comment by Adam Graham

If the campaign had dedicated a lot of time to raising funds from special interests (as other campaigns have), you’d have a point. When Lamar Alexander ran for President, he stated he had to do over 210 fundraisers to raise the money he needed to run this race. Mr. Cox has not chosen that route, and as such hasn’t raised as much money. Wehn a campaign doesn’t set out to dedicate its time to fundraising, then it’s really a poor measurement of the seriousness of a campaign that funds haven’t been raised.
Comment by Adam Graham

And Michael, you’re being contradictory. Either, you can allege John Cox is an unserious candidate who is going nowhere, or he’s a dangerous demagogue (if he is dangerous, I’d like to hear what danger he poses). Making both allegations shows a poor grasp of logic. Honestly, Mr. Cox is a good guy whose running a campaign because he believes in this country and great principles. That some people have nothing better to do than take potshots is quite sad.