Category: It's Too Early for Presidential Race 2012

January 2, 2010

Getting Elected is Easy, Governing is Hard

Filed under: It's Too Early for Presidential Race 2012 - 02 Jan 2010

My latest piece is up at Pajamas Media:
The shine is off. Recent tracking polls have shown the president’s popularity trending downwards under 50%. And both Public Policy Polling and Rasmussen show President Obama in tight races …

August 3, 2009

More 2012 Myths

Filed under: It's Too Early for Presidential Race 2012 - 03 Aug 2009

My latest piece is up at Pajamas Media. Here’s an excerpt:
I wrote a column on 2012 myths and misconceptions back in June discussing conventional wisdom that doesn’t necessarily match up with reality. However, we just scratched the surface …

March 1, 2009

What Does the CPAC Strawpoll Mean?

Filed under: It's Too Early for Presidential Race 2012 - 01 Mar 2009

Max is telling us to hunker down for a long campaign between the top 6 finishers at CPAC:
The early polling indicates a 6-way race between Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Bobby Jindal, Mike Huckabee, …

November 12, 2008

The 13 Keys Revisited for 2008 and 2012

I’ve referred frequently to the 13 Keys system for forecasting the Presidency. The system was developed by Professor Allan Lichtman. The system has predicted the popular vote turnout of every election since 1884.

Lichtman explains his model this way:
The Keys show that …

November 7, 2008

Palin Power in the GOP

Filed under: It's Too Early for Presidential Race 2012 - 07 Nov 2008

From Rasmussen Reports, stunning vindictation for Sarah Palin among Republicans. The media attack game doesn’t look all that successful. 69% of Republicans think that she helped McCain, only 20% think she hurt him.

Her favorable rating among the Republcians is …

October 25, 2008

On 2010 and 2012: From the Horses’ Mouths

Filed under: It's Too Early for Presidential Race 2012 - 25 Oct 2008

As I begin this post, let me clarify that I’m not giving up on 2008. The consequences of an Obama Administration, which could include catastrophic terrorist attacks, the destruction of of a functioning private retirement system, and 500,000 more abortions are not …