Virginia to Obama, Florida to Toss-Up

Today’s Insider Advantage poll puts Obama up 6 in Virginia, with the last three polls indicating an Obama lead. So after several months, I’m moving Virginia out of toss-up and to “Leans Obama.”

The Latest Public Policy Polling has Obama up 3. This is after other recent polls have shown a tie, and two others have shown McCain +1. I hate to do this (and I also hated to move Virginia but lamenting the state of the race in two straight paragraphs is lame) but Florida is now a Toss-up.

Simply put, Obama has a clear, functional electoral college majority for the first time since I’ve been posting on the state of the race.

Turning this around depends on everybody, including the candidate, doing their part. I made five calls into Nevada for Senator McCain tonight.